Mentioned in Video:

πŸ”₯ #CathieWood consolidates her actively managed funds at #ARKInvest by selling her “cash-like” positions to buy her highest conviction stocks (like #TSLA stock) at steep discounts. Well, @ARK Invest just had the steepest downturn in their history and they ended up selling #Palantir (#PLTR stock) as a result! So, which stocks did they concentrate down into? Out of those, which are the best tech stocks to buy now?

Video Transcript:



00:00
arc invest's trading data is in for the
00:01
month and holy moly what a crazy month
00:03
it's been volatility is around the
00:05
highest it's been since march of 2020 on
00:07
the back of record high inflation the
00:09
fed planning to raise interest rates and
00:11
the threat of war between russia and
00:13
ukraine oh yeah and then that conflict
00:15
actually breaking out on top of that
00:17
it's earning season it's hard to get a
00:19
handle on everything getting priced into
00:21
the market right now but it's clear that
00:23
we're in a major window of opportunity
00:24
for investing i think it's really
00:26
important to track what arc invest is
00:28
buying as everything keeps trending
00:30
downwards so in this episode i'm going
00:32
to highlight what the absolute heck is
00:34
going on in the markets right now and
00:36
show you what arkanvest has been buying
00:37
and selling as a result your time is
00:40
valuable so let's get right into it
00:42
let's start by talking about russia and
00:44
ukraine i'll keep it brief and as always
00:46
i'll cite my sources in the episode
00:48
description below ukraine and russia
00:50
have a long and complicated history
00:52
ukraine was a part of the soviet union
00:54
before its collapse at the end of the
00:56
cold war when that happened russia lost
00:58
a significant amount of economic power
01:00
and respect on the world stage vladimir
01:02
putin wants to reclaim those things so
01:04
he's been trying to reassert russian
01:06
power over former soviet republics like
01:08
belarus moldova and ukraine vladimir
01:11
putin believes that ukraine and russia
01:13
are still one people and in 2014 russia
01:16
invaded and annexed the crimean
01:17
peninsula from ukraine not all
01:19
ukrainians agree for example an
01:21
increasing number of ukrainians are
01:23
speaking their own language also people
01:25
in ukraine appear to be aligning more
01:27
and more with the west over time
01:29
including being more supportive of
01:30
joining the eu and aspiring to join nato
01:33
the north atlantic treaty organization
01:35
the reason to call out nato here is
01:37
because of article 5 which states that
01:39
an attack on any one nato ally is an
01:41
attack on all of them clearly russia
01:43
doesn't want nato to expand towards
01:45
their borders and explicitly called out
01:47
the us and nato to prevent ukraine from
01:49
joining again there's a lot of history
01:51
here but it's worth calling out that the
01:53
situation has been brewing for a long
01:55
time wait last year russia started
01:57
gathering around 200 000 troops along
01:59
ukraine's borders then two days ago on
02:02
february 24th russia invaded ukraine so
02:05
this threat of conflict in the conflict
02:06
itself is one thing spooking the markets
02:09
and shortening investment time horizons
02:11
since then biden and others have
02:13
introduced plans for additional
02:14
sanctions and germany halted the nord
02:16
stream 2 which is a massive natural gas
02:19
pipeline running from russia to germany
02:21
russia is the largest supplier of
02:23
natural gas to the continent supplying
02:25
about 40 percent of europe's natural gas
02:28
they're also a major exporter of oil
02:30
which leads me to the second thing
02:32
spooking the market while russia's gas
02:34
and oil haven't been sanctioned yet
02:36
fears that they might be have already
02:38
spiked prices of both gas and oil when
02:40
the fed says it tries to keep inflation
02:42
at two percent per year on average one
02:44
measure they're talking about is the
02:46
personal consumption expenditures index
02:48
which includes the costs of commodities
02:50
like oil hopefully you can see the
02:52
snowball effect here the threat of
02:54
conflict increases uncertainty which
02:56
drives the value of long-term
02:57
investments like growth stocks way down
02:59
the conflict also increases commodity
03:02
prices so everyone's dollar is weaker
03:04
that drives liquidity down which drives
03:06
the value of long-term investments like
03:08
growth stocks way down increased
03:10
commodity prices are one way we measure
03:12
inflation which the fed is trying to
03:14
curb by raising interest rates raising
03:16
interest rates drive the value of long
03:18
term well you get it so the world is
03:20
scarier the dollar is weaker and there
03:22
are less dollars to go around keeping up
03:24
with all the individual news points can
03:26
be exhausting but if you want to be
03:28
greedy when others are fearful and
03:29
fearful when others are greedy you first
03:31
need to know when others are being
03:33
fearful or greedy the american
03:35
association of individual investors
03:36
sentiment survey asks members the same
03:39
question each week what direction do
03:40
they feel the stock market will be in
03:42
the next six months this is why i think
03:44
investors have such a major window of
03:46
opportunity right now keep in mind that
03:48
on average the markets go up over time
03:50
so the average sentiment is about 38
03:53
bullish and about 31 percent bearish
03:56
this past week
03:57
53.7 percent of the market was bearish
04:00
and just 23.4 percent had a bullish view
04:04
actually bearishness has been the
04:05
highest it's been in over a year a week
04:08
before that bullishness was at a yearly
04:10
low of under 20
04:12
and far more people were undecided so
04:14
basically people have been moving from
04:16
neutral to bearish on average as they've
04:18
been digesting all the news that i just
04:20
talked about over the last month that
04:22
makes now a great time to see what
04:23
arkhamvest has been buying as others are
04:25
being fearful this data is even more
04:28
significant than it seems bearishness
04:30
has hit a four-year record high and
04:32
bullishness has also hit a four-year
04:35
record low in the past two weeks the
04:37
stock market is decidedly fearful right
04:39
now and a lot of people are fleeing to
04:41
safer assets like bonds but what if
04:43
there was another asset class that had
04:45
both a low correlation to the stock
04:47
market and can still generate solid
04:49
returns the partner for today's video is
04:51
a great way to do just that masterworks
04:53
dot io is the only platform that lets
04:55
you invest in physical multi-million
04:57
dollar paintings without breaking the
04:59
bank according to a recent report by
05:00
citibank fine art had the lowest
05:02
correlation to the stock market of any
05:04
major asset class and that's exactly
05:06
what we're looking for as news on rising
05:08
interest rates inflation and the russia
05:10
ukraine conflict continue to drive
05:12
growth stocks down also according to
05:14
city contemporary art prices have almost
05:16
tripled the s p 500's total return from
05:19
1995 to 2020. that's way more than you
05:22
thought right another thing i really
05:24
like about masterworks is that they're
05:25
really focused on the investment not
05:27
just the art their team of analysts use
05:29
proprietary data to identify artists
05:31
whose work would produce the best risk
05:34
adjusted returns that's important then
05:36
they acquire paintings by these artists
05:38
file the artwork with the sec and then
05:40
securitize it that way regular investors
05:43
like us can go to masterworks.io and buy
05:45
shares of multi-million dollar art just
05:47
like we buy stocks today just a few days
05:50
ago they sold an albert olin painting
05:52
returning almost 34 to investors after
05:55
all costs and fees and that painting was
05:57
initially offered in january of 2021 so
06:00
i reached out to masterworks and they're
06:01
giving you vip access to their latest
06:04
offerings including a newly acquired
06:05
picasso painting i'll leave a link to
06:07
that exclusive vip offer for you in the
06:09
description below like i said the stock
06:12
market is decidedly fearful right now so
06:14
looking through arc invest's trading
06:16
activity over the last month should
06:17
reveal exactly what kathy wood buys when
06:20
she wants to be greedy let's get into it
06:22
starting with kathy wood's top 50
06:24
positions when you combine ark invests 6
06:26
actively managed funds each row is one
06:28
company the rows are ordered by the size
06:30
of kathy wood's position in that company
06:32
and each position is colored by its
06:34
change in size in february relative to
06:36
the change in arc invests assets under
06:38
management so arc invest increased their
06:40
total share count in tesla by 12 since
06:43
the start of february but tesla's share
06:45
price is over five percent lower so arc
06:48
invest's total dollar amount in tesla
06:49
only went up by about six percent let me
06:52
point out something about arc invest's
06:54
trading activity here because i've been
06:56
seeing a lot of buy high sell low
06:57
comments lately if we zoom out on arc
06:59
invest trading activity around tesla
07:01
over the last year or so we can see that
07:03
kathy wood's sales of tesla shares line
07:05
up really nicely with peaks in its price
07:08
when tesla's stock price crashed by
07:09
about 30 percent from its peaks in last
07:11
february arkhanvest bought that dip then
07:14
she sold a chunk of her position as the
07:16
stock rallied in may then as the stock
07:18
price climbed back to seven hundred
07:20
dollars arkhamvest kept their position
07:22
size relatively steady it was only after
07:24
tesla stock really started its massive
07:26
run up that arc invest decided to sell
07:28
accordingly and now that tesla stock is
07:30
well under 800
07:32
kathy wood is starting to again buy the
07:34
dip basically what we want to see here
07:36
is the blue share count line moving the
07:38
opposite direction of the green share
07:40
price line this strategy is called buy
07:42
low sell high is arc invest perfect at
07:45
timing the market no but i do think that
07:47
they're doing pretty well with their
07:48
biggest positions speaking of which if
07:50
we reorder arc invest's top 50 positions
07:53
by the change in share count we can see
07:55
what they've been buying and selling so
07:57
over the last month kathy wood has
07:58
almost tripled her shares in c limited
08:00
ticker symbol se and it jumped up 20
08:03
ranks as a result c limited is now arc
08:06
invest's 21st biggest position overall
08:08
if we check out arc invest's trading
08:10
activity around sea limited we can see
08:12
that kathy wood started selling c when
08:14
it started rallying north of 300
08:17
this is a big sellout of c limited
08:19
shares and now that shares of c limited
08:21
are under 175 dollars a share kathy wood
08:24
is loading back up it looks like kathy
08:27
wood is really happy buying c limited
08:28
shares anywhere under 175
08:31
meaning she thinks it'll return to its
08:33
peak of 350 over the next five years
08:36
which would roughly be a doubling in its
08:38
share price we know that doubling every
08:40
five years is something that arc invest
08:41
goes for but it's really cool seeing it
08:43
in the data itself by the way c limited
08:46
is the top position in my own public
08:48
portfolio and their next earnings call
08:50
is scheduled for march 1st so i'm
08:51
excited to see what shakes out speaking
08:54
of earnings kathy would also bought 75
08:56
more shares in roblox ticker symbol rblx
09:00
roblox reported earnings in the middle
09:01
of the month and their stock price
09:02
collapsed by over 25 percent their
09:05
earnings presentation showed that their
09:06
quarter for revenue grew by 83 percent
09:09
year over year so they're seeing steady
09:11
exponential growth on their revenue
09:13
their engagement across the platform has
09:15
grown by almost 30 percent year over
09:17
year and that's on the back of crazy
09:19
growth during the pandemic yes growth is
09:21
definitely slowing down but they're now
09:23
much better positioned to handle the
09:24
world reopening and competing for their
09:26
audience's attention just look at how
09:28
much growth got pulled forward during
09:29
the pandemic all of this excess growth
09:31
in quarter two quarter three and quarter
09:34
four is growth that got pulled forward
09:36
from future years and it's crazy to see
09:38
that they still grew on top of that in
09:40
2021 i think the reason the stock
09:42
crashed so hard is because of their
09:44
average bookings per daily user bookings
09:46
is a metric that tracks the purchases of
09:48
robux the digital currency of roblox's
09:51
ecosystem the average amount of robux
09:53
purchased per daily active user actually
09:55
fell by ten percent year over year but
09:58
again that's being compared to quarter
10:00
four of 2020 which was at the peak of
10:02
the delta variant of the pandemic after
10:04
all that growth in 2020 the fact that
10:06
spending on roebucks actually only fell
10:08
by 10
10:09
is actually making me really bullish on
10:11
the long term vision of roblox and
10:14
that's before even getting into things
10:15
like their expansions into new
10:17
demographics obviously arkhamvest sees
10:19
the same thing which is why roblox is
10:21
now their 27th biggest position overall
10:23
just for kicks let's check out kathy
10:25
wood's buy and sell activity around
10:27
roblox since many people call this stock
10:29
a classic stay-at-home momentum stock
10:31
did kathy wood fall into that same trap
10:33
spoiler no she didn't she started
10:36
accumulating roblox when shares went
10:38
public back in march of last year then
10:40
she bought some shares when the stock
10:42
dipped in april she held steady when the
10:44
stock rallied in may and then she sold
10:46
some shares right before the start of
10:48
june as you can see a lot of her buys
10:50
actually are timed well with the stock
10:52
going down in price then she held steady
10:54
through the volatility all summer then
10:56
as roblox got cut in half since last
10:58
november arkhamvest steadily bought the
11:01
dip so her average buy price is nowhere
11:03
near the peak price of the stock comment
11:06
below if you want me to share more of
11:07
these long-term buy and sell patterns of
11:09
arkhanvest's holdings let me know if
11:11
there are one or two stocks that you're
11:13
particularly interested in seeing i can
11:15
also spend some time calculating their
11:16
more recent buy and sell prices instead
11:19
of just the averages across all the time
11:21
i've been tracking them if we go back to
11:22
the table of arkhamvest's combined
11:24
positions they bought a lot of 10x
11:26
genomics square two simple twist
11:29
biosciences twilio and roku they
11:32
actually did buy a lot more shopify as
11:33
well but it dipped way harder than most
11:35
of the other stocks on this list and she
11:37
didn't buy enough to close the gap so it
11:39
dropped down one rank as a result it's
11:41
worth noting that a ton of these
11:43
companies had their earnings this month
11:45
like unity twilio twitter roblox crispr
11:48
shopify roku teledoc coinbase the list
11:51
goes on and on i'm obviously doing my
11:54
best to keep up but if you're passionate
11:55
about stocks and want to help me cover
11:57
certain earnings calls shoot me an email
11:59
or comment below i just can't cover them
12:02
all myself and companies like see
12:03
limited and zoom are reporting soon if i
12:06
flip the table we can see that she sold
12:08
a lot of twitter iridium trimble vertex
12:11
and splunk twitter and iridium were both
12:13
such big positions that even after
12:15
selling over 70 percent of her shares in
12:17
each they're still in arkhamvest's top
12:19
50 holdings combined selling those
12:21
stocks plus stocks like paypal and
12:23
tencent are how arc raised cash to buy
12:25
their highest conviction dips if you
12:27
want access to these data dashboards
12:29
yourself instead of waiting for me to
12:30
make videos on them consider supporting
12:32
the channel as a patron on patreon or
12:34
channel member right here on youtube
12:36
that also unlocks a bunch of exclusive
12:38
written content and q a videos for you
12:40
it's a great way to invest in the
12:42
channel that invests in you there's one
12:43
stock that didn't stay in archives top
12:45
50 holdings after a massive sale that
12:47
really caught me by surprise and that's
12:49
palantir if you want to know what i've
12:51
learned by looking at how kathy woods
12:52
sold pound here out of all six of
12:54
arkhamvest's funds check out my deep
12:56
dive video on it right here i'm also
12:58
posting more bite-sized content on
13:00
twitter instagram and tick tock so feel
13:03
free to follow ticker symbol u on
13:04
whatever platforms are best for you
13:06
until next time stay long stay strong
13:09
and thanks for watching this is ticker
13:11
symbol you my name is alex reminding you
13:14
that the best investment you can make
13:16
is in you

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Alex Divinsky

πŸ’° Investing in our future through disruptive innovation, β˜• lover of coffee, πŸ“Ί host of Ticker Symbol: YOU on YouTube

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