Mentioned in Video:

πŸš€ As some of the best stocks to buy now keep falling (e.g. #TSLA and #PLTR stocks), I'm continuing to invest in growth stocks and cryptocurrencies like #Bitcoin (BTC) and #Ethereum (ETH). Will it be enough to compete with #ARKK@ARK Invest‘s flagship innovation fund managed by #CathieWood? I also cover the big changes to my portfolio (overweighting SE stock and #TDOC stock, adding #BTC, using #Tesla stock as a conviction test) and discuss another exercise that I feel will help make us better investors.

Video Transcript:



00:00
it's time for another fantastic
00:02
portfolio update
00:08
i've been in the red pretty much since
00:10
i've launched this one hundred thousand
00:11
dollar portfolio just three months ago
00:13
right when i think my favorite growth
00:15
stocks can't go any lower new news comes
00:17
out about inflation job numbers new
00:19
pandemic variants fed tapering interest
00:22
rates and so on if your portfolio looks
00:24
anything like mine don't panic remember
00:27
that you don't lose a single penny until
00:29
you actually sell something on the flip
00:31
side as my favorite stocks continue to
00:33
nosedive by double digits each week it's
00:36
getting harder and harder for me not to
00:38
buy the dip i'm not a financial advisor
00:40
and nothing i say here is financial
00:42
advice but in my opinion the best things
00:45
we can be doing right now is keeping our
00:46
watch lists organized so we can look for
00:49
solid buying opportunities on our
00:51
favorite stocks at bargain basement
00:52
prices so in this episode i'm going to
00:55
show you exactly how i do that and how
00:57
you can too after all this is the
01:00
channel that invests in you i'll also
01:02
show you what i've been buying since my
01:04
last portfolio update and how my
01:06
portfolio has been performing compared
01:08
to rk arc invests flagship innovation
01:11
fund your time is valuable so if you're
01:13
just here to see what's in my portfolio
01:15
i'll show you that right up front i'm
01:17
not here to hold you hostage let's start
01:19
with the performance of my portfolio
01:21
first since it's the first time i get to
01:23
show it the s p 500 is up by a massive
01:27
whopping 1.5 percent over the last six
01:30
weeks over that same time period though
01:32
rk is down by almost 25
01:35
it's actually i'm not even mad that's
01:37
amazing
01:39
what that tells me is that kathy wood is
01:41
actually doing a great job managing a
01:43
fund that doesn't move with the rest of
01:45
the market for better or worse it's not
01:47
tied to an index at all because it
01:49
doesn't hold stocks like apple and
01:51
google and facebook kathy wood says time
01:54
and time again that she's looking for
01:55
the next apple the next google the next
01:58
set of fang stocks one of the advantages
02:00
that i have as a retail investor is that
02:03
i can buy whatever i want whenever i
02:05
want so i'm simply saving more of my
02:07
cash and investing in safer companies
02:10
while archinvest doesn't have that
02:12
luxury as a result i'm only down about
02:14
11 right now i can't emphasize enough
02:18
how much money doing nothing can
02:19
actually make you let's take a look at
02:21
what i'm currently holding sea limited
02:23
is still my number one position by far
02:26
and that's not going to change unless
02:27
something crazy happens i talk about
02:29
this stock a lot and honestly i need to
02:31
be talking about it a lot more so
02:34
starting next year i'm going to cover it
02:35
a lot more regularly in 2022 next up we
02:39
have ethereum which is still the second
02:41
biggest holding on the list it's much
02:43
more volatile than most stocks so i'm
02:45
letting it drop down way more before i
02:47
average into it again i've also added a
02:49
small bitcoin position to the portfolio
02:52
for a lot of reasons first i believe
02:54
that bitcoin will end up on more and
02:56
more corporate balance sheets as kathy
02:58
wood suggests second a large part of the
03:00
crypto community believes that ethereum
03:02
will overtake bitcoin as the biggest
03:04
cryptocurrency by market cap that event
03:07
is called the flipping since ethereum's
03:10
and bitcoin's positions on every crypto
03:12
list would essentially flip ethereum is
03:14
already bigger than bitcoin by a couple
03:16
of metrics like transaction counts and
03:18
total transaction fees paid today
03:21
ethereum is at roughly half the market
03:23
cap of bitcoin even though it's searched
03:25
way less frequently and bitcoin has been
03:27
a household name for years most people
03:30
agree that the flipping will happen and
03:31
it's just a matter of time and when most
03:34
people agree on something it's a good
03:36
idea to at least consider the other side
03:38
in this case the other side would mean
03:40
that bitcoin will forever be bigger than
03:42
ethereum and if that's true and i truly
03:45
believe in the future of ethereum that i
03:47
need to hold some bitcoin since it will
03:49
always be bigger hedges can be pretty
03:51
funny like that the third reason i'm
03:53
holding bitcoin is that it's a good way
03:55
to further spread the volatility of this
03:57
portfolio out between two different
03:59
asset classes stocks and
04:01
cryptocurrencies together bitcoin and
04:03
ethereum make up about 11 percent of my
04:05
portfolio right now and my target is
04:07
about 12
04:09
9 in ethereum and 3 in bitcoin my third
04:13
biggest holding has become teledoc i've
04:15
learned a ton about this stock and i've
04:16
covered it a few times since it started
04:18
crashing earlier this year teledoc is
04:21
archives second biggest position overall
04:23
and it has a real shot at one day being
04:25
kathy wood's single biggest holding even
04:28
above tesla it's not a stretch to say
04:30
that teledoc could actually be
04:32
archinvest's highest conviction position
04:34
right now since it's in four of their
04:36
funds and arkhamvest owns about six
04:38
percent of the company if you add up all
04:40
of their shares just over a year ago
04:42
teledoc paid 18.5 billion dollars to
04:45
acquire lavongo today teledoc and
04:47
lavongo combined are trading at just 15
04:50
billion dollars in valuation so over 20
04:53
percent lower than what teledoc paid to
04:54
acquire it when you merge with lavongo
04:57
we remember from glenn that there was
04:59
not glitching that there was not a lot
05:01
of overlap that there were two different
05:03
basically let's call them client lists
05:04
how's the integration going
05:07
the integra
05:08
the integration's going great we
05:10
we have two very similar cultures with a
05:13
common mission
05:15
very little overlap in terms of clients
05:17
and very little overlap in terms of our
05:19
product portfolio it's incredibly
05:21
complementary and the teams are deep in
05:24
the process of integration we're seeing
05:27
record growth in our in our mental
05:29
health area and 40 of the people who are
05:31
coming to us for mental health care say
05:34
that they wouldn't have otherwise gotten
05:35
care you know we're not just
05:38
virtualizing people who already would
05:40
have gotten care and changing them from
05:42
in-person to virtual visits we're really
05:45
expanding access to care in this really
05:48
important part of the health care system
05:51
mental health which we know has a
05:53
tremendous impact on physical health and
05:55
the cost of care
05:57
so either the market thinks that this is
05:59
the worst acquisition in history or
06:01
teledoc plus lavongo are just
06:03
fundamentally mispriced here's why i
06:06
think they're mispriced if teledoc
06:08
liquidated every tangible asset they
06:10
have right now and then paid off all of
06:12
their liabilities the extra money they
06:14
would have left over is what's called
06:15
their book value usually the market cap
06:18
of a tech company is way more than its
06:20
book value because that company also has
06:22
intangible assets like patents
06:25
trademarks proprietary technologies and
06:27
data and so on teledoc definitely has a
06:30
ton of important intangible assets which
06:32
arkanvest talks about all the time back
06:35
in february kathy was saying that you
06:37
know keep some powder dry uh and now
06:39
we're saying innovation is on sale when
06:41
you're in the equity markets
06:43
this is an asset class where you have to
06:45
focus on the medium-term time horizon if
06:48
you're putting money into equities it
06:50
should not be money that you're trying
06:51
to extract out in three or six months
06:54
and so that's why we do our evaluation
06:56
work over five years and why we see
06:59
super meaningful appreciation
07:01
opportunities in the intangible assets
07:03
that we're
07:04
purchasing on behalf of our clients
07:06
teledocs market cap is currently less
07:08
than its book value let alone its value
07:11
when you add in all these intangible
07:13
assets i'm not doing anything crazy here
07:16
i'm not betting the house i'm not taking
07:18
out a loan and i'm not overextending
07:20
myself in any way but as long as teledoc
07:22
is under 100 per share which is where
07:25
its market cap would equal its book
07:27
value i'm going to keep averaging in
07:30
right behind teledoc palantir currently
07:32
rounds out my highest conviction
07:34
positions if i thought the market was
07:36
misunderstanding teledoc then i think
07:38
it's straight up delusional on palantir
07:40
again because so much of its value today
07:43
is still intangible i won't spend your
07:45
valuable time rehashing my points on
07:47
palantir right now but if you're
07:49
interested in learning all about this
07:50
unique artificial intelligence and data
07:52
analytics company and all the high-tech
07:55
markets that they operate in i've put
07:57
all of my pallets your content in one
07:59
convenient playlist for you i'll leave
08:01
that in the top right hand corner of
08:02
your screen right now and in the
08:04
description below as well the other big
08:07
changes that i made to the portfolio are
08:09
all at the bottom where i actually sold
08:11
out of my four smallest positions
08:13
snapchat peloton signify health and amd
08:17
let me explain why i did that in
08:19
previous episodes i gave everyone
08:21
including myself a couple of important
08:23
exercises that i think will instantly
08:26
make us better investors the first
08:28
exercise was to pick your favorite 30 or
08:30
so stocks that was your investing
08:32
universe for a while and your job was to
08:34
rank them it might take a few tries and
08:36
if you struggled with any particular
08:38
stock that's a good indication that you
08:40
need to do more research once you have
08:42
your ordered list the top half becomes
08:44
your portfolio and the bottom half
08:46
becomes your watch list this lets your
08:48
portfolio and your watch list work
08:50
together if you find a new stock that
08:52
you like you're not allowed to just buy
08:54
it instead you throw it onto the bottom
08:56
of your watch list then that stock has
08:59
to work hard to float to the top of your
09:01
watch list while you keep learning about
09:03
every company on your list together
09:05
you're only allowed to start buying
09:07
companies if they get to the top of your
09:09
watch list and when you do you're only
09:11
allowed to buy tiny amounts to begin
09:13
with which would put them in the bottom
09:15
of your portfolio that stops you from
09:17
making impulsive buying decisions now
09:20
that a company is at the bottom of your
09:22
portfolio it has to compete with every
09:24
other stock that you've already invested
09:26
real money in including your highest
09:29
conviction positions at the top are you
09:31
really about to put your next dollar in
09:33
your 12th favorite company when your top
09:35
stock just dropped 20 percent the
09:38
opposite is also true before you totally
09:40
sell out of a stock that you put real
09:42
money into why not just stop buying it
09:44
for a while keep buying your other
09:46
stocks and guess what the one you
09:48
stopped buying will start sinking
09:49
towards the bottom of your portfolio
09:52
that's what happened with snapchat
09:54
peloton signify and amd for me my top
09:57
stocks all dropped around 30 percent and
09:59
these four stocks were the ones at the
10:01
bottom of my portfolio they were very
10:03
small positions and i sold them all for
10:05
a combined loss of around 400 bucks but
10:08
i freed up a few grand for my highest
10:11
conviction holdings with those four
10:13
stocks gone the smallest position in my
10:15
portfolio is now tesla no new stocks can
10:18
enter my portfolio unless i'm convinced
10:20
they deserve to be there almost as much
10:22
as tesla over the next five years which
10:25
means i'm being really picky here picky
10:28
is exactly what you want to be when
10:30
every single growth stock goes on sale
10:32
which is what's happening right now if
10:34
you haven't already checked out my
10:36
previous portfolio episodes i really
10:38
recommend you do that and try those
10:40
exercises for yourself there's still
10:42
plenty of time to organize your lists
10:44
and catch up on your favorite growth
10:45
stocks before this dip reverses i'll
10:48
leave my most recent portfolio episode
10:50
in the top right hand corner of your
10:51
screen right now and in the description
10:53
below as well
10:55
here's the next investing exercise
10:57
remember these are absolutely free
10:59
exercises that i think will instantly
11:01
make us better investors once we
11:03
actually sit down and do them
11:05
tradingview is a pretty advanced stock
11:07
analysis tool the basic level of
11:09
tradingview.com is absolutely free
11:11
they're not sponsoring me in any way and
11:13
i have absolutely nothing to gain by
11:16
having you try tradingview i just really
11:18
like their website and their desktop app
11:20
here's what my pro version of
11:21
tradingview looks like this is all the
11:24
stuff that i care about seeing before i
11:26
decide to buy a high-tech growth stock
11:28
and all of these indicators and lines
11:30
and colors are tuned specifically for
11:32
those kinds of stocks there are a few
11:34
financial metrics here like the price to
11:36
sales and price to book ratios both of
11:38
which i talk a lot about on this channel
11:41
there are a few momentum indicators to
11:42
let me know if the stock is being
11:44
overbought or oversold and a few other
11:47
scripts that add more information to my
11:49
price chart all right so what we're
11:51
going to do is we're going to
11:53
tradingview.com and we're going to click
11:56
on the chart this pulls up a chart of
11:58
apple i do everything in dark mode
12:00
because i'm super cool like that so
12:02
we're going to change that in the basic
12:04
settings i'm going to use apple as an
12:06
example but if you create a free account
12:08
you can add whatever stocks you want to
12:10
your own list let's add a couple of
12:12
basic financial metrics to the screen
12:14
right now i'm going to click financials
12:17
and then i'm going to type in price to
12:18
book and price to sales if you're also
12:21
interested in things like price or
12:22
earnings feel free to click on that one
12:24
too we can consolidate these three
12:26
metrics into one screen by moving
12:28
everything into the same pane now we
12:31
have one pane with three different
12:33
y-axis and if you're not sure which
12:35
ratio is which you can just hide one and
12:37
then unhide it or wiggle the axis or
12:40
move the mouse over it now we can see
12:42
apple's stock price as well as these
12:44
three important financial metrics all at
12:46
once and everything is synced up in time
12:49
today we can see that apple is trading
12:50
at much higher ratios than they were in
12:53
early november so apple isn't really
12:55
doing much more business than it was six
12:57
weeks ago investors are just valuing
13:00
that business at higher multiples that's
13:02
useful info the other things we can add
13:04
to the screen are moving averages this
13:07
time we go to indicators instead of
13:09
financials and we're going to click on
13:11
moving average three times because we'll
13:13
be adding three of them right now we can
13:15
see the nine day moving average but what
13:17
we want to see is the 25 day the 50 day
13:21
and the 100 day moving averages so all
13:23
i'm doing is i'm changing the settings
13:25
for each line to reflect that you can
13:27
change the format of these lines however
13:29
you want now when we look at the price
13:31
chart with these numbers we have a much
13:33
clearer idea of when we want to buy the
13:35
stock i try to only buy stocks that are
13:38
at least under this dark blue line the
13:40
25 day moving average if the price is
13:43
not below that line i won't even think
13:45
about buying it the 50-day moving
13:47
average is even better but you can see
13:49
that apple doesn't really touch its
13:51
50-day moving average very often so when
13:54
it does it's probably going to be a
13:55
solid long-term price if you're willing
13:58
to hold through the short-term
13:59
volatility the longer the moving average
14:02
the longer it takes to catch up to big
14:04
swings in the stock's price so when you
14:06
pick a number you're trading between how
14:08
conservative you want to be with your
14:10
buy price and how often the stock
14:12
actually gets below that price the nice
14:14
thing about trading view is it keeps all
14:16
of your settings across all of your
14:18
stocks so if we look at netflix we can
14:21
see that it dips below these lines way
14:23
more often that doesn't mean we should
14:25
go out and buy netflix stock it just
14:27
means that it's a better buy now than it
14:29
was during the last 25 days on average
14:32
now let's look at tesla stock holy moly
14:36
tesla barely even dips below its 25-day
14:38
moving average when the price gets close
14:40
to the 50-day average that's probably
14:42
the best an investor can hope for at
14:44
least over the short term so taking your
14:47
ranked list and setting it up on trading
14:49
view and learning about these indicators
14:51
is the next exercise being able to see
14:54
fundamental financial metrics and some
14:56
basic price averages at the same time as
14:58
you look at the stock's price will
15:00
instantly make you a better investor and
15:03
that's what we're here for so your new
15:06
task is to go watch those previous
15:07
portfolio episodes and rank your own
15:09
list if you haven't done that already
15:11
then you're going to set yourself up on
15:13
trading view to see if now is a good
15:16
time to buy any of your favorite stocks
15:18
comment below or tweet me at ticker
15:20
symbol u if you're interested in me
15:22
doing a full episode on my trading view
15:24
setup i'm happy to do one if there's
15:26
enough interest also let me know if you
15:28
use trading view or if you're using a
15:30
different charting app i'm always
15:32
excited to try different financial tools
15:34
tradingview doesn't support this channel
15:36
in any way but if you'd like to or
15:39
you're just looking for a home for your
15:40
own portfolio you can go to public.com
15:43
ticker symbol u and you'll receive a
15:45
free slice of stock worth up to 70
15:47
dollars when you fund your account
15:49
public.com is also free to use with no
15:51
account minimum to get started they
15:53
don't charge fees for standard trades
15:55
and they allow you to buy slices of
15:57
stocks for as little as one dollar so
16:00
check it out and grab your free slice of
16:01
stock worth up to 70 dollars when you
16:03
fund your account that's a win-win if
16:05
i've ever heard one and i'll leave a
16:07
link to that exclusive offer for you in
16:09
the description below as well and if
16:11
you'd like to access my buy and sell
16:13
alerts as they happen instead of waiting
16:15
for me to make an episode where i talk
16:17
about them consider supporting the
16:18
channel as an insider to your patron on
16:20
patreon or channel member right here on
16:23
youtube my supporters are getting a lot
16:25
of extra content almost every day right
16:27
now as growth stocks keep trending
16:29
downwards i make extra posts explaining
16:32
why i add positions like bitcoin why i'm
16:34
so bullish on c limited and why i'm
16:37
still holding so much cash the support
16:39
of my patrons and youtube members makes
16:41
extra investing projects like this
16:43
portfolio possible and that means the
16:45
world to me either way thanks for
16:47
watching and until next time this is
16:49
ticker symbol you my name is alex
16:52
reminding you that the best investment
16:54
you can make
16:55
is in you
17:08
you

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Alex Divinsky

πŸ’° Investing in our future through disruptive innovation, β˜• lover of coffee, πŸ“Ί host of Ticker Symbol: YOU on YouTube

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